{"id":4819,"date":"2020-03-28T16:45:33","date_gmt":"2020-03-28T15:45:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/?p=4819"},"modified":"2020-03-28T16:45:33","modified_gmt":"2020-03-28T15:45:33","slug":"what-coronavirus-means-for-the-eu-car-industry-and-what-we-can-learn-from-the-2009-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/2020\/03\/28\/what-coronavirus-means-for-the-eu-car-industry-and-what-we-can-learn-from-the-2009-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"What coronavirus means for the EU car industry and what we can learn from the 2009 crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">As the coronavirus is bringing Europe to a halt, major carmakers and many suppliers &#8211; like the rest of the EU economy &#8211; are shutting down their factories. The priority now is to ensure the health, safety and job security of the roughly 2.6 million auto workers who are likely to need government support as they are sent into temporary unemployment.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">This comes as a huge blow to one of Europe\u2019s most prized industries, but exactly how hard-hit it will be is hard to say at this stage. The main parameter impacting the fate of the car industry is demand for motor vehicles. The shutdown will almost certainly accelerate the recession that was already on its way in early 2020 with car sales down by <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.acea.be\/news\/newsletter-statistics-pc\">7.4%<\/a> in the first two months. But whether demand collapses or consolidates will depend on how Europe and national governments manage the recovery.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">A speedy economic recovery is clearly carmakers\u2019 absolute top priority as this is what determines whether people will have the resources to buy new cars. However, some carmakers apparently cannot resist the temptation to use the coronavirus crisis to attack environmental regulations. Some are already calling for a delay of the EU car CO2 standards entering force this year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Does the corona crisis mean the EU CO2 regulations ought to be scaled back or that fines be waived?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">The first thing to understand is that the car CO2 target, which was agreed in 2008, is a fleet average target. So, falling car sales do not automatically affect compliance. What would impact compliance is if the type of vehicles sold changes.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Secondly, the electric car market saw a record growth across Europe in the first two months of 2020. Every <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/insideevs.com\/news\/404121\/germany-plugin-car-sales-february-2020\/\">15th car<\/a> sold in Germany in February had a plug, amounting to a record 7% of new sales. <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/cleantechnica.com\/2020\/03\/17\/hot-hot-hot-france-electric-car-sales-report\/\">France<\/a> recorded an even more impressive 9% sales share, with similar explosions in <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/insideevs.com\/news\/398012\/italy-ev-market-huge-2020-january-587-percent\/\">Italy<\/a> and <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/insideevs.com\/news\/402886\/spain-january-february-2020-record-ev-sales\/\">Spain<\/a>. Since the EV market is driven by the company car and fleets market, and that market is in turn driven by the total cost of ownership and fiscal rules, we would expect demand for EVs to remain solid. All of this means carmakers are actually on track to achieve the CO2 target of 95g\/km on the 95% of their 2020 sales &#8211; the real test comes in 2021 when the <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org\/news\/%E2%80%98bad-blood%E2%80%99-over-cars-co2\">Merkel \u2018phase-in\u2019<\/a> comes to an end.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Thirdly, the majority of the electric cars planned to comply with the regulations have not yet rolled off production lines, including VW\u2019s ID.4, Fiat\u2019s e-500 and Seat\u2019s Leon PHEV. So if the closures remain short term, electric car production will not be majorly affected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Finally, whilst a recession is bad news for carmakers profits and employment, it doesn&#8217;t mean higher CO2 emissions. In 2009, in the midst of the financial crisis, new car CO2 emissions fell by <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org\/sites\/te\/files\/media\/2010_11_car_company_co2_report_final.pdf\">a record 5,1%<\/a>. This was thanks to a shift towards smaller, less powerful vehicles as well as thanks to generous and targeted scrappage schemes. Higher sales of small cars would also help now &#8211; for example, the Peugeot 108 and Citroen\u2019s C1 both emit 85g\/km and cost \u20ac10,000. And compared to 2009, small electric car models such as the Renault Twingo are available and affordable when coupled with national grants.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">It should be noted here that <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.volkswagen-newsroom.com\/en\/press-releases\/volkswagen-brand-about-to-leap-into-the-electric-era-5907\">VW<\/a> and <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.welt.de\/wirtschaft\/article206562853\/Coronavirus-Der-Autoindustrie-droht-eine-Schneise-der-Verwuestung.html\">BMW<\/a> put out statements saying the 2020 standards should be kept intact. They deserve praise for this.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Beyond keeping the CO2 regulations in place, the question is what support should be given to the car industry to weather the crisis? First, let\u2019s learn from past <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/euobserver.com\/dieselgate\/135179\">mistakes<\/a>. Amid the 2008-2009 financial crisis, Barroso\u2019s European Economic Recovery Plan injected <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.eib.org\/en\/press\/all\/2009-207-eib-board-approves-further-eur-600m-in-loans-for-the-automotive-industry.htm\">\u20ac7.56 billion<\/a> cash loans into the EU car industry. On paper, these huge sums, rising to <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/bankwatch.org\/blog\/up-in-smoke-the-billions-for-europes-auto-industry-from-the-eus-house-bank\">over \u20ac20 billion<\/a> by 2015, were supposed to help investment in green cars. In practice, carmakers cheated emissions tests (culminating in Dieselgate), the gap between real-world and lab fuel consumption sky-rocketed, SUV sales <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org\/publications\/mission-possible-how-carmakers-can-reach-their-2021-co2-targets-and-avoid-fines\">boomed<\/a>, and, apart from Renault and BMW, no-one invested in electric cars. And just as <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.autocar.co.uk\/car-news\/industry\/coronavirus-shutdowns-could-jeopardise-eu-emissions-targets-kia-boss-warns\">Kia<\/a> and others are weaponising the corona crisis today, carmakers in 2009 used the financial crisis to <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.acea.be\/press-releases\/article\/european_investment_bank_loans_underline_importance_of_the_automobile_2\">caution<\/a> against \u201cadditional costly vehicle legislation for a number of years\u201d.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Taxpayers should also not be asked to foot the bill for the temporary drop in revenue and profits of an industry that until recently had recorded huge profits: the VW Group earned a record net profit of over <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/annualreport2019.volkswagenag.com\">\u20ac19 billion<\/a> in 2019, FCA <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcagroup.com\/en-US\/investors\/financial_regulatory\/financial_reports\/files\/FCA_NV_2019_Annual_Report.pdf\">\u20ac4.3 billion<\/a>, <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.groupe-psa.com\/en\/document\/2019-financial-results-press-release\/\">\u20ac3.58 billion<\/a> for PSA and <a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.daimler.com\/documents\/investors\/reports\/annual-report\/daimler\/daimler-ir-annual-report-2019-incl-combined-management-report-daimler-ag.pdf\">\u20ac2.7 billon<\/a> for Daimler &#8211; enough to sustain a short-term setback. Support measures must come with conditions. First, workers&#8217; job security must be top priority, not shareholder profits. Second, scrappage schemes and other support measures should be focused on electric cars; the government should invest massively in recharging infrastructure and grid upgrades; and company&#8217;s could enjoy temporary incentives if they go electric in the coming year. Third, these should not be empty promises, but the conditions clearly defined, targets quantified and continuous monitoring assured. Fourth, such a big injection of public cash to shore up private companies in bad times needs to be accompanied by a commitment to do better in good times &#8211; through stricter CO2 standards beyond 2025.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">There is no denying the coronavirus marks the beginning of a period of turbulence for the European car market. But we need to learn from the past and ensure public money is well spent. The crisis will not last forever &#8211; hopefully it will be short. But whatever happens, we need to make sure Europe emerges from it more competitive and innovative with a zero emission product portfolio fit for the 21st century. This will secure our industries\u2019 markets globally and jobs at home, and it is essential to stop the other looming global crisis, global warming.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>By <a class=\"username\" title=\"View user profile.\" xml:lang=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org\/people\/julia-poliscanova\">Julia Poliscanova<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source:\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org<\/a><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>FLEET MANAGEMENT AUDIT<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Fleet management is the use of a set of vehicles in order to provide services to a third-party, or to perform a task for our organization, in the most efficient and productive manner with a determined level of service and cost.<\/p>\n<p>Fleet management activities are shown in the following graph 1:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1106 size-full\" title=\"fleet management activities\" src=\"http:\/\/en.advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/grafico-AFMC-en.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2016\/06\/grafico-AFMC-en.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2016\/06\/grafico-AFMC-en-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2016\/06\/grafico-AFMC-en-1024x512.jpg 1024w\" alt=\"fleet management activities\" width=\"1600\" height=\"800\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Graph 1: fleet management activities<\/p>\n<p>The proposal audit analyses and assesses all fleet management activities shown in the graph 1, and its main goals are:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Know the overall status of the fleet management activities<\/li>\n<li>Provide the analysis, the assessment, the advice, the suggestions and the actions to take in order to cut costs and increase the efficiency and efficacy of the fleet management\u00a0 activities<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>With the information obtained, we\u2019ll elaborate a report that holds the overall status of the fleet management as well as the suggestions, recommendations and the measures to take in order to cut costs and optimize the fleet management activities.<\/p>\n<p><strong>CLICK ON THE FOLLOWING LINK TO DOWNLOAD THE PROPOSED FLEET MANAGEMENT AUDIT:<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/en.advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/Fleet-Management-Audit-AFMC.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Fleet Management Audit AFMC<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the coronavirus is bringing Europe to a halt, major carmakers and many suppliers &#8211; like the rest of the EU economy &#8211; are shutting down their factories. The priority now is to ensure the health, safety and job security of the roughly 2.6 million auto workers who are likely to need government support as&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4820,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[18],"tags":[302],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4819"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4819"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4819\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4821,"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4819\/revisions\/4821"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4820"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advancedfleetmanagementconsulting.com\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}